Regarding the opinion article “Nuclear power can save the world” (April 7) it is noteworthy that only one of the three expert authors would appear to have any energy expertise, and frankly it reads that way, starting with its tendentiously misleading headline.
The article is egregiously replete with errors of fact and interpretation, making it difficult to compose a complete riposte. Instead, may I just address two grossly misleading assertions?
Firstly, nuclear waste could only be described as “compact” if you were to refer to discharged irradiated spent reactor fuel alone, and ignore the huge quantities of uranium waste tailings at uranium mines and the massive radioactive hulks of closed nuclear facilities awaiting decommissioning.
Moreover, it is simply untrue to state bluntly that nuclear power plants “have not contributed to weapons proliferation.”
The reactor at Yongbon used to create the plutonium for North Korea’s warheads is an exact copy from published blueprints of the UK ‘Magnox’ design nuclear power reactor.
And the plutonium in India’s nuclear warheads was created in CANDU reactors sold to India by Canada. (see: The Smiling Buddha Blast and Canada’s CANDU Snafu; https://www.counterpunch.org/2006/02/27/the-smiling-buddha-blast-and-canada-s-candu-snafu/; India’s Military Plutonium Inventory; https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6130/9a9d8bd539a25144454e0316a9d49e4fd26c.pdf)
Here is the offending NYT Op-Ed:
Nuclear
Power Can Save the World
Expanding
the technology is the fastest way to slash greenhouse gas emissions and
decarbonize the economy.
By Joshua S. Goldstein, Staffan A. Qvist and Steven Pinker
Drs. Goldstein and Qvist are the authors of
“A Bright Future: How Some Countries Have Solved Climate Change and the Rest
Can Follow.” Dr. Pinker is a psychology professor at Harvard.
·
New York Times, April
7, 2019
As young people rightly demand real
solutions to climate change, the question is not what to do —
eliminate fossil fuels by 2050 — but how. Beyond decarbonizing today’s electric
grid, we must use clean electricity to replace fossil fuels in transportation,
industry and heating. We must provide for the fast-growing energy needs of
poorer countries and extend the grid to a billion people who now lack
electricity. And still more electricity will be needed to remove excess carbon
dioxide from the atmosphere by midcentury.
Where will this gargantuan amount of
carbon-free energy come from? The popular answer is renewables alone, but this
is a fantasy. Wind and solar power are becoming cheaper, but they are not
available around the clock, rain or shine, and batteries that could power
entire cities for days or weeks show no sign of materializing any time soon.
Today, renewables work only with fossil-fuel backup.
Germany, which went all-in for
renewables, has seen little reduction in carbon emissions, and, according
to our calculations, at Germany’s rate of adding clean energy relative to gross
domestic product, it would take the world more than a century to decarbonize,
even if the country wasn’t also retiring nuclear plants early. A few lucky
countries with abundant hydroelectricity, like Norway and New Zealand, have
decarbonized their electric grids, but their success cannot be scaled up
elsewhere: The world’s best hydro sites are already dammed.
Small wonder that a growing response to
these intimidating facts is, “We’re cooked.”
But
we actually have proven models for rapid decarbonization with economic and
energy growth: France and Sweden. They decarbonized their grids decades ago and
now emit less than a tenth of the world average of carbon dioxide per
kilowatt-hour. They remain among the world’s most pleasant places to live and
enjoy much cheaper electricity than
Germany to boot.
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They did this with nuclear power. And
they did it fast, taking advantage of nuclear power’s intense concentration of
energy per pound of fuel. France replaced almost all of its fossil-fueled
electricity with nuclear power nationwide in just 15 years; Sweden, in
about 20 years. In fact, most of the fastest additions of clean electricity
historically are countries rolling out nuclear power.
This is a realistic solution to
humanity’s greatest problem. Plants built 30 years ago in America, as
in France, produce cheap, clean electricity, and nuclear power is the cheapest
source in South Korea. The 98 U.S. reactors today provide nearly 20 percent of
the nation’s electricity generation. So why don’t the United States and other
countries expand their nuclear capacity? The reasons are economics
and fear.
New nuclear power plants are hugely
expensive to build in the United States today. This is why so few are
being built. But they don’t need to be so costly. The key to recovering our
lost ability to build affordable nuclear plants is standardization and repetition.
The first product off any assembly line is expensive — it cost more than $150 million to
develop the first iPhone — but costs plunge as they are built in quantity and
production kinks are worked out.
Yet as a former chairman of the
Nuclear Regulatory Commission put it, while France
has two types of reactors and hundreds of types of cheese, in the United States
it’s the other way around. In recent decades, the United States and some
European countries have created ever more complicated reactors, with ever more
safety features in response to public fears. New, one-of-a-kind designs,
shifting regulations, supply-chain and construction snafus and a lost
generation of experts (during the decades when new construction stopped) have
driven costs to absurd heights.
These
economic problems are solvable. China and South Korea can build reactors at
one-sixth the current cost in the United States. With the political will, China
could replace coal without sacrificing economic growth, reducing world carbon
emissions by more than 10 percent. In the longer term, dozens of American
start-ups are developing “fourth generation” reactors that can be
mass-produced, potentially generating electricity at lower cost than fossil
fuels. If American activists, politicians and regulators allow it, these
reactors could be exported to the world in the 2030s and ’40s, slaking poorer
countries’ growing thirst for energy while creating well-paying American jobs.
Currently, fourth-generation nuclear power receives rare bipartisan agreement
in Congress, making it a particularly appealing American policy to address
climate change. Congress recently passed the Nuclear Energy Innovation and
Modernization Act by big margins. Both parties love innovation,
entrepreneurship, exports and jobs.
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This approach will need a sensible
regulatory framework. Currently, as M.I.T.’s Richard Lester, a nuclear
engineer, has written, a
company proposing a new reactor design faces “the prospect of having to spend a
billion dollars or more on an open-ended, all‑or‑nothing
licensing process without any certainty of outcomes.” We need government on the side of this
clean-energy transformation, with supportive regulation, streamlined approval,
investment in research and incentives that tilt producers and consumers away
from carbon.
All this, however, depends on
overcoming an irrational dread among the public and many activists. The
reality is that nuclear power is the safest form of energy humanity has ever
used. Mining accidents, hydroelectric dam failures, natural gas explosions
and oil train crashes all kill people, sometimes in large numbers, and smoke
from coal-burning kills them in enormous numbers, more than half a million per
year.
By contrast, in 60 years of nuclear
power, only three accidents have raised public alarm: Three Mile Island in
1979, which killed no one; Fukushima in 2011, which killed no
one (many deaths resulted from the tsunami and some from a panicked
evacuation near the plant); and Chernobyl in 1986, the result of extraordinary
Soviet bungling, which killed 31 in the accident and perhaps several thousand
from cancer, around the same number killed by coal emissions every day. (Even if we
accepted recent claims that Soviet and international authorities
covered up tens of thousands of Chernobyl deaths, the death toll from 60 years
of nuclear power would still equal about one month of coal-related deaths.)
Nuclear power plants
cannot explode like nuclear bombs, and they have not contributed to
weapons proliferation, thanks to robust international controls: 24 countries
have nuclear power but not weapons, while Israel and North Korea have nuclear
weapons but not power.
Nuclear waste is compact — America’s
total from 60 years would fit in a Walmart — and is safely stored in concrete
casks and pools, becoming less radioactive over time. After we have solved the
more pressing challenge of climate change, we can either burn the waste as fuel
in new types of reactors or bury it deep underground. It’s a far easier
environmental challenge than the world’s enormous coal waste, routinely dumped
near poor communities and often laden with toxic arsenic, mercury and lead that
can last forever.
Despite its demonstrable safety,
nuclear power presses several psychological buttons. First, people estimate
risk according to how readily anecdotes like well-publicized nuclear accidents
pop into mind. Second, the thought of radiation activates the mind-set of
disgust, in which any trace of contaminant fouls whatever it contacts, despite
the reality that we all live in a soup of natural radiation. Third, people feel
better about eliminating a single tiny risk entirely than minimizing risk from
all hazards combined. For all these reasons, nuclear power is dreaded while
fossil fuels are tolerated, just as flying is scary even though driving is more
dangerous.
Opinions
are also driven by our cultural and political tribes. Since the late 1970s,
when No Nukes became a signature cause of the Green movement, sympathy to
nuclear power became, among many environmentalists, a sign of disloyalty if not
treason.
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Despite these challenges, psychology
and politics can change quickly. As the enormity of the climate crisis sinks in
and the hoped-for carbon savings from renewables don’t add up, nuclear can
become the new green. Protecting the environment and lifting the developing
world out of poverty are progressive causes. And the millennials and Gen Z’s
might rethink the sacred values their boomer parents have left unexamined since
the Doobie Brothers sang at the 1979 No Nukes concert.
If the American public and politicians
can face real threats and overcome unfounded fears, we can solve humanity’s
most pressing challenge and leave our grandchildren a bright future of climate
stability and abundant energy. We can dispatch, once and for all, the
self-fulfilling prophesy that we’re cooked.
Joshua S. Goldstein, professor emeritus of international
relations at American University, and Staffan A. Qvist, a Swedish energy engineer, are
the authors of “A Bright Future: How Some Countries Have Solved Climate Change
and the Rest Can Follow.” Steven Pinker is a professor of psychology
at Harvard University and is the author of “Enlightenment Now.”
The Times is committed to
publishing a diversity of letters to
the editor. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles.
A version of this article appears in print on April 7, 2019, on
Page SR4 of the New York edition with the headline: Nuclear
Power Can Save the World
The
NYT gives the following bio-details for Staffan
Qvist:
Energy Engineer
Ph.D., Nuclear Engineering, UC Berkeley, 2013
M.S., Mechanical Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), 2010
B.S., Mechanical Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), 2008
STAFFAN A. QVIST is a Swedish engineer and consultant to clean energy projects around the world. He is the coauthor, with Joshua S. Goldstein, of the forthcoming book, A Bright Future: How Some Countries Have Solved Climate Change and the Rest Can Follow (PublicAffairs Books, January 2019).
He leads the consultancy Qvist Consulting Limited and lives in London.
Ph.D., Nuclear Engineering, UC Berkeley, 2013
M.S., Mechanical Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), 2010
B.S., Mechanical Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), 2008
STAFFAN A. QVIST is a Swedish engineer and consultant to clean energy projects around the world. He is the coauthor, with Joshua S. Goldstein, of the forthcoming book, A Bright Future: How Some Countries Have Solved Climate Change and the Rest Can Follow (PublicAffairs Books, January 2019).
He leads the consultancy Qvist Consulting Limited and lives in London.
However, there is more to his bio, which is omitted:
LeadCold
The
company
LeadCold
Reactors (Blykalla Reaktorer) was founded in 2013 by J. Wallenius, P. Szakalos
and J. Ejenstam as a joint stock company, with its basis in Stockholm. Our
Canadian subsidiary is registered in Alberta, the Northwest Territories and
Nunavut.
Background
LeadCold
is a spin-off from KTH Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm, where J.
Wallenius carried out research on design and safety analysis on lead-cooled
reactor systems since 1996. The competences of the LeadCold team include fast
reactor core design, transient analysis, corrosion and materials science, nuclear
fuel development, lead coolant chemistry, radiation damage and severe accident
analysis. Through collaboration with KTH, the company has access to
laboratories for lead corrosion studies, nuclear fuel manufacture, heavy liquid
metal thermal hydraulics and severe accident experiments. The research at KTH
is made in close collaboration with Swedish nuclear materials industry.
Funding
history
Seed
funding for a market analysis of small lead-cooled reactors was provided to
LeadCold by KTH Innovation in 2013. In December 2014, a grant for development
of tools for safety informed design of lead-cooled reactors was given by VINNOVA (The Swedish Innovation Agency). In December 2015, KIC
InnoEnergy invested in LeadCold, supporting further business development of the
company. In June 2018, the UK government awarded LeadCold a contract to
produce a feasibility study for serial production of its SEALER-UK
concept.
And listed in the LeadCold Scientific/Technical team is….Staffan Qvist - Core
Design
This was clearly not full disclosure!
TEMPER, TEMPER, Dr Lowry. It's the new acronym for what anti-nuclear energy experts always refer to as nuclear waste, in the full knowledge that Gen IV nuclear power plants will burn it as fuel, in the not too-distant future.
ReplyDeleteEd Pheil's Molten Chloride Salt Fast Reactor [MCSFR] will lead the charge by the mid 2020s and will be rendering the Savannah River plutonium stockpile useless as a bomb making material and generating low-carbon, 24/7 electricity from the resultant fuel. It's then more than likely the UK's plutonium stockpile will be undergoing the same treatment not long after that.
When a fleet of MCSFRs are burning there way through HLW and SNF, ahead of them lies the 2 million tonnes of DU you forgot to mention.
All of this constitutes The Earth's Most Precious Energy Resource [TEMPER] - there is enough of it to supply ALL of the energy humanity could possibly use [electricity/heat/carbon-neutral liquid fuels] for thousands of years, without digging another thing out of the ground.
And well you know it! Why not let New York Times readers know all about it too?